Positives: Quinn is a good athlete and he has good size and strength to go along with it. He has a good first step and has good edge speed, plus he shows some hand usage and a rip move to get off blocks. He shows the shoulder dip and hip flexibility necessary to get the edge at RE on the next level. He shows some explosiveness as a hitter and has a pretty good motor and doesn’t often quit when rushing the passer. He is strong for his size so he holds up alright versus the run and has solid recognition skills. He won’t just crash down on the RB on zone reads and will keep contain, also does a solid job sniffing out screens. May be a good enough athlete to play 3-4 OLB in the NFL.
Negatives: Has some potential character concerns because of the suspension that led to him missing his entire junior season. I don’t think they are serious, but it is still a red flag. He also made it hard for teams to evaluate him because his most recent game tape is from his sophomore season. He is a raw prospect for that reason and while he has potential he represents a lot of risk because of the suspension and because he was a developmental prospect before that. And while he was touted as a physical freak I don’t think he really proved that to be true, and he certainly doesn’t warrant comparisons to Julius Peppers as far as raw athletic ability. He is pretty much a one-trick pony as a pass rusher and he rarely counters and attempts to beat the tackle with an inside move. He also doesn’t fire off the line of scrimmage and while he has a good first step he isn’t usually the first one off the LOS. I think he has the athletic ability to develop a good swim move and a nice spin move but that is purely speculation. He also struggles to shed blocks against bigger blockers in the run game and can be moved off the ball at times. He is mentioned as a 3-4 OLB prospect but I don’t know if he has the athletic ability to drop into coverage effectively. He might be a more effective pass rusher standing up but I have never seen him do that so that just makes him even harder to project.
Overall: There are a lot of question marks with Quinn and that stems from the season he missed this past year. I would have liked to see him play next year but that is obviously an unrealistic expectation because of the fallout from the suspension. He definitely has first round ability and potential, and I think he can be an 8+ sack guy at RE with some development, but he is very raw so he is going to have to come off the bench for a year or probably two years before he is ready to consistently contribute. His hand usage and pass rush moves need development and while he might be able to be a situational pass rusher before that he is a one trick pony right now so he won’t be particularly effective. He has a high ceiling because he can be a good/very good pass rushing RE in the NFL but his floor is a complete bust who never develops pass rush moves and never improves as a run defender. That’s a lot of risk to take with a top ten pick, so I have been very surprised that he’s been projected as such a high draft pick for so long. I thought his suspension and ultimately his overall risk as a project would scare people off more than it has, at least until recently.
Projection: Top 20. I would be surprised if a guy with his natural ability fell out of the top 20 unless there was a significant character red flag that came to light during the draft process that is not openly known. However, I don’t think I would pick him in the top ten even though I’m a huge UNC fan. He is a good athlete, has good edge speed, but nothing about him is elite in my opinion. He won’t be an elite pass rusher in the NFL without significantly developing his pass rush moves, so while he has a high ceiling his floor is pretty low and he won’t have a significant impact early in his NFL career.
1-poor, 2-weak, 3-above average, 4-very good, 5-elite
Pass Rush: 3.5
Point Of Attack: 2.5
Thanks for reading!